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Red69
632446.0
6925.8
17526.6
Blue50
476111.5
905613.8
872422.9
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions874402060801001201406950

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+23Teleop
+25Endgame
+19Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave0
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points9
6Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +26
13Coral scored#8
45Coral points29
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
6Processor points0
8Net points4
14Algae points4
59Total teleop33
Reef
3L4#3
5L3#3
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
16Game pieces#11
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +19
0Foul points6
69Total score50

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.00.8
31.330.4
Auto6.8
Teleop38.9
End0.3
red by 23.1
8724
#20
22.90.5
21.120.5
Auto4.6
Teleop16.3
End1.9
Second
175
#19
26.60.8
20.619.8
Auto4.3
Teleop19.3
End3.0
red by 12.8
9056
#34
13.80.3
10.810.5
Auto4.9
Teleop6.7
End2.1
Third
69
#25
25.80.8
24.723.8
Auto4.3
Teleop19.8
End1.8
red by 14.3
4761
#36
11.50.5
14.213.6
Auto1.8
Teleop10.1
End-0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
44%Auto oddsMissed24%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
34%Barge oddsMissed25%Barge oddsMissed