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Red44
1006319.9
24622.4
905613.8
Blue83
208420.1
545928.4
242333.8
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49970204060801201401604483

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+39
Endgame+39
Fouls+39
AutonomousBlue +21
0Leave3
2Coral scored#5
9Coral points27
9Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +18
6Coral scored#11
21Coral points41
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#2
6Processor points0
4Net points8
10Algae points8
31Total teleop49
Reef
2L4#7
3L3#5
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#3
10Game pieces#18
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +39
0Foul points0
44Total score83

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
246
#17
22.40.3
21.220.9
Auto3.6
Teleop16.5
End2.4
blue by 11.4
33.80.1
36.837.0
Auto9.7
Teleop18.4
End5.8
Second
19.90.4
17.016.6
Auto4.4
Teleop12.9
End2.5
blue by 8.5
28.40.1
24.524.6
Auto7.0
Teleop22.3
End-0.9
Third
9056
#34
13.80.3
10.09.7
Auto4.9
Teleop6.7
End2.1
blue by 6.3
2084
#32
20.10.1
20.320.4
Auto3.3
Teleop16.6
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
16%Auto oddsMissed75%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
48%Barge oddsMissed8%Barge oddsMissed