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Red72
287627.3
872422.9
972924.1
Blue88
545928.4
632446.0
271336.4
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59702040801007288

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+18
Endgame+16
Fouls+16
Autonomouslevel
6Leave6
2Coral scored#2
10Coral points10
16Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +18
11Coral scored#13
40Coral points46
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#4
6Processor points6
4Net points16
10Algae points22
50Total teleop68
Reef
4L4#6
4L3#3
2L2#3
3L1 · trough#3
15Game pieces#20
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +16
0Foul points0
72Total score88

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2876
#15
27.31.7
26.027.7
Auto4.4
Teleop21.7
End1.2
blue by 18.7
46.02.6
24.026.6
Auto6.8
Teleop38.9
End0.3
Second
24.11.0
11.612.6
Auto1.9
Teleop19.2
End2.9
blue by 12.3
36.42.6
26.128.8
Auto5.6
Teleop23.5
End7.3
Third
8724
#20
22.91.7
16.017.7
Auto4.6
Teleop16.3
End1.9
blue by 5.5
28.42.6
11.514.1
Auto7.0
Teleop22.3
End-0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
37%Auto oddsEarned25%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
24%Barge oddsMissed35%Barge oddsMissed