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Red151
12564.5
511222.1
632446.0
Blue85
905613.8
17526.6
271336.4
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions136665010015020015185

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+28Auto
+54Teleop
+54Endgame
+66Fouls
AutonomousRed +28
9Leave0
6Coral scored#2
28Coral points9
37Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +26
19Coral scored#12
68Coral points44
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
12Processor points6
8Net points12
20Algae points18
88Total teleop62
Reef
7L4#5
8L3#4
6L2#4
4L1 · trough#1
29Game pieces#18
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +66
12Foul points0
151Total score85

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
125
#1
64.51.1
60.761.8
Auto18.7
Teleop36.8
End9.0
red by 28.1
36.41.1
33.134.2
Auto5.6
Teleop23.5
End7.3
Second
46.01.1
41.842.9
Auto6.8
Teleop38.9
End0.3
red by 19.4
175
#19
26.61.2
22.723.9
Auto4.3
Teleop19.3
End3.0
Third
5112
#16
22.11.1
21.522.6
Auto5.1
Teleop15.3
End1.7
red by 8.3
9056
#34
13.81.1
12.713.8
Auto4.9
Teleop6.7
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsEarned47%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
9%Coral oddsEarned4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
53%Barge oddsEarned50%Barge oddsEarned