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Red62
673124.7
1006319.9
476111.5
Blue32
287627.3
320512.6
1015615.0
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions61702040801001206232

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+36Teleop
+32Endgame
+30Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
0Leave6
3Coral scored#1
16Coral points6
16Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +32
8Coral scored#2
30Coral points8
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
6Processor points0
8Net points4
14Algae points4
44Total teleop12
Reef
4L4#1
2L3#1
3L2#1
2L1 · trough#0
14Game pieces#4
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +30
0Foul points2
62Total score32

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6731
#11
24.70.6
24.024.5
Auto5.6
Teleop16.1
End3.1
blue by 2.6
2876
#15
27.32.4
29.527.1
Auto4.4
Teleop21.7
End1.2
Second
19.90.6
19.319.9
Auto4.4
Teleop12.9
End2.5
red by 4.8
15.02.1
17.215.0
Auto5.1
Teleop8.3
End1.6
Third
4761
#36
11.50.5
11.011.5
Auto1.8
Teleop10.1
End-0.4
blue by 1.1
3205
#12
12.62.4
15.513.1
Auto3.3
Teleop6.5
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
31%Auto oddsEarned64%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
29%Barge oddsMissed15%Barge oddsMissed