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Red81
287627.3
673124.7
404833.6
Blue89
534729.6
50920.2
573521.6
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9573204060801201401608189

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
Teleop+2
Endgame+2
Fouls+8
AutonomousRed +1
6Leave6
1Coral scored#1
7Coral points6
13Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +3
11Coral scored#12
40Coral points43
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
6Processor points6
12Net points12
18Algae points18
58Total teleop61
Reef
4L4#5
4L3#5
1L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
16Game pieces#17
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Penalties & totalBlue +8
6Foul points12
81Total score89

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4048
#21
33.60.3
33.833.6
Auto5.9
Teleop25.9
End1.8
red by 4.0
5347
#10
29.60.2
28.528.7
Auto5.7
Teleop22.8
End1.1
Second
2876
#15
27.30.3
27.527.3
Auto4.4
Teleop21.7
End1.2
red by 5.7
5735
#35
21.60.2
20.420.6
Auto2.7
Teleop18.0
End0.9
Third
6731
#11
24.70.3
24.924.7
Auto5.6
Teleop16.1
End3.1
red by 4.5
509
#31
20.20.2
19.119.3
Auto2.5
Teleop15.7
End2.1