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Red145
862623.6
620142.6
632446.0
Blue123
1025420.9
271336.4
7844.3
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11911250100150200250145123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+42Teleop
+22Endgame
+22Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave6
3Coral scored#3
13Coral points17
16Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +49
20Coral scored#14
71Coral points50
5Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
30Processor points6
12Net points8
42Algae points14
113Total teleop64
Reef
8L4#4
8L3#7
4L2#4
3L1 · trough#2
31Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +20
16Cage & park36
16Total endgame36
Penalties & totalRed +22
0Foul points0
145Total score123

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.00.9
43.344.1
Auto6.8
Teleop38.9
End0.3
red by 1.7
78
#14
44.30.5
42.843.3
Auto8.1
Teleop27.7
End8.5
Second
42.60.9
39.940.7
Auto6.5
Teleop28.0
End8.2
red by 6.3
36.40.5
34.835.3
Auto5.6
Teleop23.5
End7.3
Third
8626
#24
23.60.9
20.821.7
Auto3.8
Teleop16.7
End3.1
red by 2.6
20.90.5
19.419.9
Auto4.4
Teleop13.3
End3.2