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Red137
46759.5
127733.8
673139.3
Blue165
287635.8
66346.4
115358.2
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions141153050100200250300137165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+16
Teleop+48
Endgame+28
Fouls+28
AutonomousBlue +16
6Leave0
3Coral scored#8
17Coral points39
23Total auto39
TeleoperatedBlue +32
19Coral scored#22
70Coral points78
2Processor algae#4
2Net algae#5
12Processor points24
8Net points20
20Algae points44
90Total teleop122
Reef
8L4#12
6L3#6
6L2#7
2L1 · trough#5
26Game pieces#39
BargeRed +20
24Cage & park4
24Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +28
0Foul points0
137Total score165

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
467
#21
59.50.2
62.362.1
Auto13.6
Teleop38.1
End7.8
red by 1.3
58.21.1
55.056.1
Auto9.7
Teleop43.2
End5.4
Second
39.30.2
34.033.8
Auto12.1
Teleop25.6
End1.6
blue by 7.1
663
#19
46.41.1
46.347.4
Auto7.7
Teleop38.4
End0.4
Third
1277
#15
33.80.2
32.532.3
Auto5.9
Teleop20.2
End7.7
blue by 1.9
35.81.1
36.437.5
Auto9.3
Teleop26.0
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto oddsEarned95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed28%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
86%Barge oddsEarned68%Barge oddsMissed