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Red184
110058.7
490963.3
500053.6
Blue100
596210.8
287774.2
46759.5
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions202157100250300184100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+27Auto
+66Teleop
+68Endgame
+84Fouls
AutonomousRed +27
0Leave9
10Coral scored#3
51Coral points15
51Total auto24
TeleoperatedRed +39
15Coral scored#13
55Coral points48
3Processor algae#1
7Net algae#2
18Processor points6
28Net points8
46Algae points14
101Total teleop62
Reef
7L4#6
11L3#5
5L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
35Game pieces#19
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +84
16Foul points0
184Total score100

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
63.30.8
64.363.5
Auto16.3
Teleop38.7
End8.3
blue by 10.9
74.22.8
73.670.8
Auto20.8
Teleop43.8
End9.5
Second
58.70.8
62.161.3
Auto12.2
Teleop39.4
End7.1
blue by 0.8
467
#21
59.52.8
60.257.4
Auto13.6
Teleop38.1
End7.8
Third
5000
#13
53.60.8
54.053.2
Auto17.2
Teleop32.1
End4.3
red by 42.8
5962
#23
10.82.8
8.15.4
Auto2.5
Teleop8.8
End-0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned90%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
58%Coral oddsMissed38%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
89%Barge oddsEarned73%Barge oddsEarned