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Red160
66346.4
573524.2
12580.8
Blue173
8877.8
175740.7
801358.7
13%Model gave it87%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15320450100250300160173

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+9Teleop
Endgame+11
Fouls+13
Autonomouslevel
0Leave3
9Coral scored#8
44Coral points41
44Total auto44
TeleoperatedRed +9
23Coral scored#21
84Coral points75
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#4
12Processor points12
16Net points16
28Algae points28
112Total teleop103
Reef
14L4#11
7L3#6
6L2#7
5L1 · trough#5
38Game pieces#35
BargeBlue +20
4Cage & park24
4Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +13
0Foul points2
160Total score173

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
125
#10
80.80.7
76.477.1
Auto25.5
Teleop45.5
End9.8
red by 3.0
88
#2
77.80.6
75.074.4
Auto18.6
Teleop50.0
End9.3
Second
663
#19
46.40.7
44.545.2
Auto7.7
Teleop38.4
End0.4
blue by 12.3
58.70.6
62.361.7
Auto9.3
Teleop40.7
End8.8
Third
5735
#24
24.20.7
25.225.9
Auto8.6
Teleop16.1
End-0.5
blue by 16.5
1757
#14
40.70.6
40.339.7
Auto9.9
Teleop23.3
End7.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned87%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
41%Coral oddsMissed73%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
64%Barge oddsMissed96%Barge oddsEarned