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Red294
19074.3
237057.8
176887.8
Blue175
271345.7
804649.2
431139.4
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions263153100200300400294175

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1768
Unranked
87.80.0
87.887.8
Auto21.8
Teleop54.9
End11.1
red by 38.7
8046
Unranked
49.20.0
49.249.2
Auto8.4
Teleop33.9
End6.9
Second
190
Unranked
74.30.0
74.374.3
Auto23.8
Teleop41.6
End8.9
red by 28.5
2713
Unranked
45.70.0
45.745.7
Auto7.5
Teleop30.4
End7.9
Third
2370
Unranked
57.80.0
57.857.8
Auto8.3
Teleop41.0
End8.4
red by 18.4
4311
Unranked
39.40.0
39.439.4
Auto6.9
Teleop23.5
End9.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto odds93%Auto odds
Coral
99%Coral odds35%Coral odds
Barge
93%Barge odds93%Barge odds