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Red145
431139.4
804649.2
271345.7
Blue195
287761.3
490957.9
105834.2
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions162184050100250300350400145195

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8046
Unranked
49.20.0
49.249.2
Auto8.4
Teleop33.9
End6.9
blue by 12.2
2877
Unranked
61.30.0
61.361.3
Auto17.6
Teleop37.2
End6.5
Second
2713
Unranked
45.70.0
45.745.7
Auto7.5
Teleop30.4
End7.9
blue by 12.2
4909
Unranked
57.90.0
57.957.9
Auto15.1
Teleop34.8
End8.0
Third
4311
Unranked
39.40.0
39.439.4
Auto6.9
Teleop23.5
End9.0
red by 5.2
1058
Unranked
34.20.0
34.234.2
Auto9.5
Teleop19.7
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
93%Auto odds98%Auto odds
Coral
35%Coral odds27%Coral odds
Barge
93%Barge odds60%Barge odds