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Red232
8887.0
237057.8
176887.8
Blue182
632874.0
490957.9
105834.2
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions25717150100150200300350400232182

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1768
Unranked
87.80.0
87.887.8
Auto21.8
Teleop54.9
End11.1
red by 13.8
6328
Unranked
74.00.0
74.074.0
Auto17.1
Teleop47.7
End9.2
Second
88
Unranked
87.00.0
87.087.0
Auto19.9
Teleop56.0
End11.2
red by 29.1
4909
Unranked
57.90.0
57.957.9
Auto15.1
Teleop34.8
End8.0
Third
2370
Unranked
57.80.0
57.857.8
Auto8.3
Teleop41.0
End8.4
red by 23.6
1058
Unranked
34.20.0
34.234.2
Auto9.5
Teleop19.7
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
90%Auto odds97%Auto odds
Coral
99%Coral odds25%Coral odds
Barge
96%Barge odds79%Barge odds