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Red182
8887.0
237057.8
176887.8
Blue152
271345.7
431139.4
31933.6
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2801240100200300400182152

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1768
Unranked
87.80.0
87.887.8
Auto21.8
Teleop54.9
End11.1
red by 42.1
2713
Unranked
45.70.0
45.745.7
Auto7.5
Teleop30.4
End7.9
Second
88
Unranked
87.00.0
87.087.0
Auto19.9
Teleop56.0
End11.2
red by 47.6
4311
Unranked
39.40.0
39.439.4
Auto6.9
Teleop23.5
End9.0
Third
2370
Unranked
57.80.0
57.857.8
Auto8.3
Teleop41.0
End8.4
red by 24.2
319
Unranked
33.60.0
33.633.6
Auto4.8
Teleop23.1
End5.7