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Red133
86257.6
719625.7
438138.3
Blue111
283257.5
608143.5
439515.3
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions163138050100200250300350133111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+22Teleop
+20Endgame
+22Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
6Leave3
6Coral scored#4
31Coral points20
37Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +8
18Coral scored#13
66Coral points48
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#3
6Processor points12
8Net points12
14Algae points24
80Total teleop72
Reef
10L4#9
7L3#4
3L2#2
4L1 · trough#2
27Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +22
2Foul points0
133Total score111

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
862
#14
57.61.2
70.068.8
Auto13.5
Teleop37.3
End6.7
red by 0.1
2832
#13
57.51.3
68.967.7
Auto15.4
Teleop37.4
End4.7
Second
38.31.2
37.836.6
Auto6.6
Teleop23.8
End7.9
blue by 5.2
6081
#10
43.51.3
35.534.2
Auto5.4
Teleop31.5
End6.6
Third
7196
#17
25.71.2
33.332.0
Auto4.3
Teleop15.6
End5.8
red by 10.4
4395
#18
15.31.3
16.815.6
Auto5.0
Teleop7.4
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned53%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
29%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
96%Barge oddsEarned36%Barge oddsEarned