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Red119
24012.3
924581.0
439515.3
Blue110
514431.5
657034.1
283257.5
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions116146050100200250119110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+2Auto
+7Teleop
+7Endgame
+9Fouls
AutonomousRed +2
9Leave6
4Coral scored#4
20Coral points21
29Total auto27
TeleoperatedRed +5
16Coral scored#15
58Coral points53
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
72Total teleop67
Reef
8L4#8
5L3#6
4L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
23Game pieces#22
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +9
2Foul points0
119Total score110

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
81.00.6
79.580.2
Auto15.9
Teleop54.6
End10.4
red by 23.5
2832
#13
57.51.1
59.558.4
Auto15.4
Teleop37.4
End4.7
Second
4395
#18
15.30.6
13.914.6
Auto5.0
Teleop7.4
End2.9
blue by 18.8
34.11.1
34.533.4
Auto7.4
Teleop16.8
End9.9
Third
240
#21
12.30.6
13.914.6
Auto4.2
Teleop6.4
End1.6
blue by 19.3
5144
#12
31.51.1
32.131.0
Auto4.5
Teleop24.4
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
66%Auto oddsEarned90%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
12%Coral oddsMissed12%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
68%Barge oddsEarned64%Barge oddsEarned