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Qual 52025 Michigan Advanced Robotics Competition (MARC)
Red83
514431.5
439515.3
438138.3
Blue79
22659.3
999619.7
608143.5
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions931260501502002503008379

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+12
+4Endgame
+4Fouls
AutonomousBlue +10
0Leave9
3Coral scored#3
13Coral points14
13Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +2
12Coral scored#8
42Coral points28
0Processor algae#2
2Net algae#3
0Processor points12
8Net points12
8Algae points24
50Total teleop52
Reef
6L4#3
4L3#3
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
17Game pieces#16
BargeRed +16
20Cage & park4
20Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +4
0Foul points0
83Total score79

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4381
#5
38.30.3
38.3→38.1
Auto6.6
Teleop23.8
End7.9
blue by 20.9
226
#2
59.31.9
56.0→54.1
Auto14.3
Teleop35.2
End9.7
Second
5144
#12
31.50.3
31.0→30.7
Auto4.5
Teleop24.4
End2.6
blue by 12.0
6081
#10
43.51.9
35.6→33.7
Auto5.4
Teleop31.5
End6.6
Third
4395
#18
15.30.3
17.6→17.4
Auto5.0
Teleop7.4
End2.9
blue by 4.3
9996
#16
19.73.2
16.0→12.8
Auto6.7
Teleop12.4
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
56%Auto oddsMissed88%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
34%Barge oddsEarned83%Barge oddsMissed