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Qual 72025 Michigan Advanced Robotics Competition (MARC)
Red129
837342.3
86257.6
657034.1
Blue123
828035.1
686134.5
283257.5
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions168185100150200250129123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+6
+6Endgame
+6Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave3
5Coral scored#5
24Coral points27
27Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +3
13Coral scored#18
48Coral points65
3Processor algae#2
5Net algae#3
18Processor points12
20Net points12
38Algae points24
86Total teleop89
Reef
8L4#7
3L3#5
4L2#8
3L1 · trough#3
26Game pieces#28
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +6
0Foul points0
129Total score123

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
862
#14
57.61.6
71.1→69.5
Auto13.5
Teleop37.3
End6.7
red by 0.1
2832
#13
57.52.7
72.7→70.0
Auto15.4
Teleop37.4
End4.7
Second
8373
#6
42.31.6
33.5→31.9
Auto6.7
Teleop31.9
End3.7
red by 7.2
8280
#7
35.12.7
39.7→37.0
Auto11.8
Teleop19.3
End4.0
Third
6570
#9
34.11.6
37.2→35.6
Auto7.4
Teleop16.8
End9.9
blue by 0.4
6861
#4
34.52.7
42.4→39.7
Auto6.6
Teleop21.3
End6.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
86%Auto oddsEarned78%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
39%Coral oddsMissed65%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
97%Barge oddsEarned51%Barge oddsMissed