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Red119
86257.6
686134.5
999619.7
Blue120
283445.2
719625.7
828035.1
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1231196080100140160119120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+17Teleop
Endgame+3
Fouls+1
AutonomousRed +4
0Leave3
6Coral scored#5
30Coral points23
30Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +13
18Coral scored#14
63Coral points52
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#1
6Processor points12
12Net points4
18Algae points16
81Total teleop68
Reef
9L4#5
8L3#6
3L2#4
4L1 · trough#4
28Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +20
6Cage & park26
6Total endgame26
Penalties & totalBlue +1
2Foul points0
119Total score120

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
862
#14
57.60.2
57.057.1
Auto13.5
Teleop37.3
End6.7
red by 12.3
45.20.3
44.745.0
Auto9.8
Teleop29.7
End5.7
Second
34.50.2
33.934.1
Auto6.6
Teleop21.3
End6.6
blue by 0.6
35.10.3
34.534.9
Auto11.8
Teleop19.3
End4.0
Third
9996
#16
19.70.2
19.119.2
Auto6.7
Teleop12.4
End0.7
blue by 6.1
7196
#17
25.70.3
25.225.5
Auto4.3
Teleop15.6
End5.8