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Red108
620139.8
207923.3
8874.8
Blue129
856729.8
242350.2
46752.4
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions172130050100150200250300108129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+21
Endgame+21
Fouls+21
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave6
7Coral scored#6
34Coral points28
37Total auto34
TeleoperatedBlue +24
12Coral scored#16
43Coral points59
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#4
6Processor points6
8Net points16
14Algae points22
57Total teleop81
Reef
8L4#6
6L3#5
3L2#6
2L1 · trough#5
22Game pieces#27
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +21
0Foul points0
108Total score129

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
88
#5
74.83.3
79.376.0
Auto16.8
Teleop46.7
End11.3
red by 22.5
467
#12
52.40.2
52.752.4
Auto13.2
Teleop31.4
End7.7
Second
6201
#22
39.83.3
46.443.0
Auto8.8
Teleop24.7
End6.3
blue by 10.4
50.20.2
43.643.3
Auto13.4
Teleop31.8
End5.0
Third
2079
#24
23.33.3
26.923.6
Auto7.4
Teleop14.8
End1.1
blue by 6.5
8567
#20
29.80.2
30.430.2
Auto5.2
Teleop22.1
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
88%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
43%Coral oddsMissed25%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
88%Barge oddsEarned35%Barge oddsEarned