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Red51
573519.9
500046.9
673132.5
Blue149
19071.8
545933.0
490957.1
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10719005015025030051149

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+100
Endgame+98
Fouls+98
AutonomousBlue +11
0Leave9
3Coral scored#4
16Coral points18
16Total auto27
TeleoperatedBlue +89
6Coral scored#24
21Coral points86
1Processor algae#3
1Net algae#4
6Processor points18
4Net points16
10Algae points34
31Total teleop120
Reef
3L4#9
2L3#10
2L2#7
2L1 · trough#2
11Game pieces#35
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +98
0Foul points0
51Total score149

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5000
#10
46.94.3
48.744.4
Auto14.7
Teleop27.3
End4.9
blue by 24.9
190
#4Sur
71.81.6
73.972.3
Auto20.4
Teleop43.1
End8.3
Second
6731
#13
32.54.3
36.231.8
Auto10.2
Teleop19.6
End2.7
blue by 24.6
57.11.6
55.253.6
Auto15.4
Teleop34.4
End7.3
Third
5735
#15Sur
19.94.3
19.915.6
Auto7.1
Teleop13.4
End-0.5
blue by 13.0
5459
#17
33.01.6
32.330.8
Auto5.9
Teleop27.3
End-0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed68%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
30%Barge oddsMissed80%Barge oddsMissed