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Red67
6924.0
910136.0
854423.2
Blue115
46752.4
490957.1
573519.9
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1101575010020025067115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+31
Teleop+46
Endgame+48
Fouls+48
AutonomousBlue +31
0Leave9
1Coral scored#6
6Coral points28
6Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +15
10Coral scored#17
37Coral points60
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
6Processor points6
16Net points8
22Algae points14
59Total teleop74
Reef
5L4#9
2L3#5
2L2#5
2L1 · trough#4
16Game pieces#26
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +48
0Foul points0
67Total score115

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9101
#25
36.02.5
42.139.6
Auto6.5
Teleop25.8
End3.7
blue by 21.1
57.11.6
57.956.3
Auto15.4
Teleop34.4
End7.3
Second
69
#31
24.02.5
31.829.3
Auto4.3
Teleop17.4
End2.4
blue by 28.3
467
#12
52.41.6
54.352.7
Auto13.2
Teleop31.4
End7.7
Third
8544
#29
23.22.5
27.625.1
Auto3.8
Teleop15.7
End3.7
red by 3.3
5735
#15
19.91.6
24.222.6
Auto7.1
Teleop13.4
End-0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
82%Auto oddsMissed95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
41%Coral oddsMissed19%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
63%Barge oddsMissed63%Barge oddsMissed