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Red127
314634.4
712738.0
17732.6
Blue123
237040.1
41694.7
801350.0
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8910820406080100120140160180127123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+6
+4Endgame
+4Fouls
AutonomousBlue +14
9Leave3
1Coral scored#5
7Coral points27
16Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +8
20Coral scored#15
71Coral points55
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#4
6Processor points6
8Net points16
14Algae points22
85Total teleop77
Reef
5L4#6
7L3#6
6L2#5
3L1 · trough#3
24Game pieces#25
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +4
0Foul points0
127Total score123

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7127
#24
38.04.7
28.933.6
Auto7.4
Teleop28.9
End1.7
blue by 11.9
50.01.7
44.546.3
Auto9.3
Teleop34.1
End6.6
Second
34.44.7
28.733.4
Auto2.9
Teleop24.2
End7.2
blue by 5.7
2370
#11
40.12.9
36.739.6
Auto8.8
Teleop27.1
End4.2
Third
177
#7
32.62.8
27.029.8
Auto7.0
Teleop18.6
End7.0
red by 27.9
4169
#35
4.72.9
15.918.8
Auto2.8
Teleop0.3
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
76%Auto oddsEarned67%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
58%Barge oddsEarned69%Barge oddsEarned