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Red99
192226.3
57148.7
23632.5
Blue122
17662.0
673130.5
217025.2
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11297608012014016099122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+11
Endgame+23
Fouls+23
AutonomousBlue +4
0Leave6
6Coral scored#5
28Coral points26
28Total auto32
TeleoperatedBlue +7
15Coral scored#13
55Coral points48
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#3
6Processor points12
4Net points12
10Algae points24
65Total teleop72
Reef
7L4#7
6L3#5
5L2#3
3L1 · trough#3
23Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +23
2Foul points2
99Total score122

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
571
#3
48.70.7
36.035.3
Auto11.7
Teleop33.6
End3.4
blue by 13.4
176
#2
62.01.9
49.451.2
Auto18.3
Teleop36.4
End7.4
Second
236
#15
32.50.7
35.234.5
Auto7.6
Teleop19.7
End5.2
red by 2.1
30.51.9
24.926.7
Auto7.9
Teleop19.4
End3.2
Third
1922
#29
26.30.7
31.931.2
Auto7.8
Teleop14.8
End3.7
red by 1.1
2170
#22
25.23.1
18.021.0
Auto3.1
Teleop18.1
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
69%Auto oddsEarned87%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
68%Barge oddsMissed67%Barge oddsEarned