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Red27
10276.6
226217.0
689518.4
Blue135
46749.7
17336.2
42932.5
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53108010015027135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+92
Endgame+104
Fouls+108
AutonomousBlue +17
0Leave6
2Coral scored#4
9Coral points20
9Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +75
3Coral scored#18
10Coral points65
0Processor algae#2
1Net algae#3
0Processor points12
4Net points12
4Algae points24
14Total teleop89
Reef
2L4#5
2L3#7
1L2#6
0L1 · trough#4
6Game pieces#27
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +108
0Foul points4
27Total score135

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6895
#33
18.43.0
13.010.0
Auto3.8
Teleop12.3
End2.3
blue by 31.3
467
#4
49.72.6
42.945.5
Auto10.8
Teleop29.1
End9.8
Second
2262
#20
17.03.0
20.617.6
Auto3.8
Teleop10.9
End2.4
blue by 19.2
173
#14
36.24.4
24.829.2
Auto6.3
Teleop27.4
End2.5
Third
1027
#34
6.63.0
20.617.6
Auto2.0
Teleop4.5
End0.2
blue by 25.9
429
#10
32.52.6
23.726.3
Auto7.0
Teleop17.8
End7.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
27%Auto oddsMissed79%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
24%Barge oddsMissed84%Barge oddsEarned