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Red120
804636.9
237040.1
46749.7
Blue121
57148.7
110038.1
673130.5
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13998406080120160180200120121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+2Auto
Teleop+9
Endgame+1
Fouls+1
AutonomousRed +2
0Leave3
6Coral scored#5
30Coral points25
30Total auto28
TeleoperatedBlue +11
12Coral scored#15
44Coral points55
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#4
6Processor points6
16Net points16
22Algae points22
66Total teleop77
Reef
8L4#9
5L3#5
4L2#3
1L1 · trough#3
23Game pieces#25
BargeRed +8
24Cage & park16
24Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +1
0Foul points0
120Total score121

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
467
#4
49.70.4
46.546.2
Auto10.8
Teleop29.1
End9.8
red by 1.1
571
#3
48.72.9
34.737.6
Auto11.7
Teleop33.6
End3.4
Second
2370
#11
40.10.6
41.040.4
Auto8.8
Teleop27.1
End4.2
red by 1.9
38.12.9
33.336.2
Auto3.4
Teleop29.7
End5.0
Third
8046
#13
36.90.6
37.937.3
Auto6.9
Teleop23.3
End6.7
red by 6.4
30.51.8
26.628.4
Auto7.9
Teleop19.4
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
78%Auto oddsEarned85%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
93%Barge oddsEarned64%Barge oddsEarned