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Red94
693320.4
801350.0
217025.2
Blue54
462820.2
41694.7
346128.8
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1044602060801201401609454

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+40Teleop
+40Endgame
+40Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
9Leave9
2Coral scored#0
10Coral points0
19Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +30
13Coral scored#8
47Coral points29
2Processor algae#0
3Net algae#3
12Processor points0
12Net points12
24Algae points12
71Total teleop41
Reef
4L4#2
5L3#3
4L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
20Game pieces#11
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +40
0Foul points0
94Total score54

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.00.1
47.247.1
Auto9.3
Teleop34.1
End6.6
red by 21.2
3461
#17
28.80.3
25.124.8
Auto3.4
Teleop22.7
End2.6
Second
2170
#22
25.20.1
20.820.7
Auto3.1
Teleop18.1
End3.9
red by 5.0
4628
#18
20.20.2
15.915.8
Auto4.8
Teleop14.7
End0.7
Third
6933
#28
20.40.1
21.921.8
Auto4.7
Teleop15.2
End0.4
red by 15.7
4169
#35
4.70.3
9.99.6
Auto2.8
Teleop0.3
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
73%Auto oddsEarned41%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
49%Barge oddsMissed24%Barge oddsMissed