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Qual 482025 NE District Western NE Event
Red151
99935.7
6133.7
17662.0
Blue124
23632.5
17336.2
237040.1
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12111180100140160151124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+35Teleop
+27Endgame
+27Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
9Leave0
6Coral scored#5
28Coral points23
37Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +21
17Coral scored#15
60Coral points55
4Processor algae#2
6Net algae#5
24Processor points12
24Net points20
48Algae points32
108Total teleop87
Reef
9L4#8
6L3#6
4L2#4
4L1 · trough#2
33Game pieces#27
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +27
0Foul points0
151Total score124

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
176
#2
62.01.6
53.8→55.4
Auto18.3
Teleop36.4
End7.4
red by 22.0
2370
#11
40.10.6
38.0→38.6
Auto8.8
Teleop27.1
End4.2
Second
999
#19
35.71.6
30.0→31.6
Auto6.6
Teleop26.0
End3.2
blue by 0.4
173
#14
36.20.6
36.2→36.8
Auto6.3
Teleop27.4
End2.5
Third
61
#12
33.71.6
34.3→35.9
Auto5.2
Teleop22.3
End6.2
red by 1.2
236
#15
32.50.6
35.4→36.0
Auto7.6
Teleop19.7
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned87%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
91%Barge oddsMissed62%Barge oddsEarned