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Red72
1059218.2
10276.6
673130.5
Blue40
41694.7
217025.2
6133.7
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions657302040801001201401607240

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+32Teleop
+18Endgame
+32Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
9Leave3
2Coral scored#1
10Coral points6
19Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +22
5Coral scored#1
17Coral points5
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
6Processor points0
8Net points4
14Algae points4
31Total teleop9
Reef
3L4#1
2L3#1
1L2#0
1L1 · trough#0
10Game pieces#3
BargeBlue +14
2Cage & park16
2Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +32
20Foul points6
72Total score40

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.50.5
30.530.0
Auto7.9
Teleop19.4
End3.2
blue by 3.2
61
#12
33.72.0
36.134.1
Auto5.2
Teleop22.3
End6.2
Second
18.20.5
20.319.8
Auto5.2
Teleop11.9
End1.1
blue by 7.0
2170
#22
25.22.5
23.421.0
Auto3.1
Teleop18.1
End3.9
Third
1027
#34
6.60.6
9.08.3
Auto2.0
Teleop4.5
End0.2
red by 1.9
4169
#35
4.72.5
4.82.3
Auto2.8
Teleop0.3
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
77%Auto oddsEarned55%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
41%Barge oddsMissed54%Barge oddsEarned