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Red110
10276.6
17732.6
801350.0
Blue136
110038.1
17662.0
856725.4
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9498406080120140160110136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+28
Endgame+30
Fouls+26
AutonomousBlue +10
9Leave9
1Coral scored#3
4Coral points14
13Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +18
15Coral scored#18
53Coral points65
2Processor algae#3
3Net algae#3
12Processor points18
12Net points12
24Algae points30
77Total teleop95
Reef
7L4#6
3L3#5
4L2#6
2L1 · trough#4
21Game pieces#27
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +26
6Foul points2
110Total score136

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.01.0
41.542.5
Auto9.3
Teleop34.1
End6.6
blue by 12.0
176
#2
62.02.9
44.747.6
Auto18.3
Teleop36.4
End7.4
Second
177
#7
32.61.0
24.825.9
Auto7.0
Teleop18.6
End7.0
blue by 5.6
38.14.8
28.232.9
Auto3.4
Teleop29.7
End5.0
Third
1027
#34
6.61.7
22.123.8
Auto2.0
Teleop4.5
End0.2
blue by 18.8
8567
#21
25.44.8
18.323.1
Auto5.2
Teleop18.3
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
79%Auto oddsMissed79%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
78%Barge oddsEarned44%Barge oddsEarned