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Red118
17824.1
804636.9
46749.7
Blue133
237040.1
556330.8
673130.5
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1241086080100140160180118133

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+25
Endgame+15
Fouls+15
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave6
5Coral scored#4
23Coral points20
23Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +22
14Coral scored#15
49Coral points53
2Processor algae#3
2Net algae#5
12Processor points18
8Net points20
20Algae points38
69Total teleop91
Reef
7L4#8
6L3#5
3L2#4
3L1 · trough#2
23Game pieces#27
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Penalties & totalBlue +15
0Foul points0
118Total score133

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
467
#4
49.70.1
49.649.7
Auto10.8
Teleop29.1
End9.8
red by 9.7
2370
#11
40.10.7
39.840.4
Auto8.8
Teleop27.1
End4.2
Second
8046
#13
36.90.1
36.836.9
Auto6.9
Teleop23.3
End6.7
red by 6.1
5563
#23
30.80.7
30.531.2
Auto2.9
Teleop24.0
End3.9
Third
178
#31
24.10.1
24.024.1
Auto5.7
Teleop15.2
End3.3
blue by 6.3
30.50.7
30.130.8
Auto7.9
Teleop19.4
End3.2