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Red28
8867.9
71620.5
549112.0
Blue139
176869.3
175742.0
174041.1
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions861535010020025028139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+71
Endgame+105
Fouls+111
AutonomousBlue +14
3Leave0
1Coral scored#5
6Coral points23
9Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +57
3Coral scored#14
11Coral points50
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#4
0Processor points6
4Net points16
4Algae points22
15Total teleop72
Reef
2L4#7
1L3#5
1L2#4
0L1 · trough#3
5Game pieces#24
BargeBlue +34
2Cage & park36
2Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +111
2Foul points8
28Total score139

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
88
#10
67.93.9
60.856.9
Auto16.0
Teleop43.5
End8.4
blue by 1.4
69.30.2
55.355.1
Auto14.3
Teleop47.1
End7.9
Second
716
#31
20.53.9
17.313.4
Auto3.0
Teleop17.4
End0.1
blue by 21.5
1757
#15
42.00.2
42.542.2
Auto5.5
Teleop28.3
End8.1
Third
5491
#26
12.03.9
7.03.0
Auto2.7
Teleop6.3
End2.9
blue by 29.0
1740
#19
41.10.2
36.536.3
Auto11.7
Teleop22.6
End6.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
35%Auto oddsMissed89%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed23%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
55%Barge oddsMissed88%Barge oddsEarned