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Red162
964448.7
500046.9
115367.4
Blue111
416910.5
715340.7
206746.6
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions147580100200250162111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+9Auto
+57Teleop
+57Endgame
+51Fouls
AutonomousRed +9
3Leave6
7Coral scored#5
36Coral points24
39Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +48
20Coral scored#9
73Coral points31
3Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
18Processor points12
12Net points12
30Algae points24
103Total teleop55
Reef
10L4#5
8L3#5
6L2#3
3L1 · trough#1
33Game pieces#19
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +51
6Foul points12
162Total score111

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67.41.5
47.549.0
Auto10.6
Teleop46.5
End10.3
red by 20.9
2067
#12
46.61.9
29.331.2
Auto10.6
Teleop27.3
End8.7
Second
9644
#16
48.71.5
43.645.1
Auto9.5
Teleop36.6
End2.6
red by 8.0
7153
#13
40.73.2
30.133.3
Auto8.3
Teleop27.8
End4.6
Third
5000
#11
46.91.5
36.638.0
Auto14.8
Teleop30.2
End1.8
red by 36.3
4169
#36
10.51.9
5.27.1
Auto3.2
Teleop5.5
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
82%Auto oddsEarned42%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
16%Coral oddsEarned7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
66%Barge oddsEarned49%Barge oddsEarned