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Red178
545939.7
111940.5
237056.8
Blue151
115367.4
15732.6
71620.5
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1341146080100160180200220178151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
+17Teleop
+27Endgame
+27Fouls
AutonomousRed +1
9Leave0
2Coral scored#4
11Coral points19
20Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +16
22Coral scored#23
80Coral points84
5Processor algae#3
6Net algae#4
30Processor points18
24Net points16
54Algae points34
134Total teleop118
Reef
7L4#11
9L3#6
5L2#6
3L1 · trough#4
35Game pieces#34
BargeRed +10
24Cage & park14
24Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +27
0Foul points0
178Total score151

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.83.1
48.751.8
Auto10.3
Teleop39.9
End6.6
blue by 10.7
67.42.5
58.260.7
Auto10.6
Teleop46.5
End10.3
Second
1119
#18
40.53.1
34.037.1
Auto6.9
Teleop29.0
End4.6
red by 7.9
157
#34
32.63.9
26.029.9
Auto3.9
Teleop26.0
End2.6
Third
39.73.1
37.440.5
Auto8.8
Teleop29.4
End1.5
red by 19.2
716
#31
20.52.5
18.120.6
Auto3.0
Teleop17.4
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
87%Auto oddsEarned70%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
20%Coral oddsEarned16%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
34%Barge oddsEarned66%Barge oddsEarned