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Red177
115367.4
862636.4
12642.7
Blue174
854423.0
860431.7
19078.7
72%Model gave it28%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions149133100120140160180200220177174

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
+1Teleop
+3Endgame
+3Fouls
AutonomousBlue +11
6Leave3
3Coral scored#5
13Coral points27
19Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +12
23Coral scored#18
82Coral points66
4Processor algae#6
9Net algae#7
24Processor points36
36Net points28
60Algae points64
142Total teleop130
Reef
10L4#6
6L3#8
5L2#5
5L1 · trough#4
39Game pieces#36
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +3
0Foul points0
177Total score174

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67.42.0
63.665.7
Auto10.6
Teleop46.5
End10.3
blue by 11.2
190
#1
78.72.5
72.575.0
Auto20.9
Teleop49.0
End8.8
Second
126
#22
42.72.0
37.940.0
Auto4.6
Teleop37.2
End1.0
red by 11.1
8604
#23
31.72.5
25.928.4
Auto4.4
Teleop25.3
End2.0
Third
8626
#29
36.42.0
31.333.3
Auto6.1
Teleop26.6
End3.7
red by 13.3
8544
#35
23.03.4
23.426.8
Auto4.0
Teleop17.4
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
70%Auto oddsEarned87%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
50%Coral oddsEarned65%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
75%Barge oddsEarned62%Barge oddsEarned