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Red126
19078.7
173536.9
318232.6
Blue83
226220.5
854423.0
111940.5
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1446305010020012683

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
+33Teleop
+43Endgame
+43Fouls
AutonomousBlue +10
3Leave3
1Coral scored#3
6Coral points16
9Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +43
15Coral scored#11
53Coral points38
3Processor algae#1
5Net algae#1
18Processor points6
20Net points4
38Algae points10
91Total teleop48
Reef
7L4#6
3L3#3
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
24Game pieces#16
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +43
0Foul points0
126Total score83

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
190
#1
78.70.2
72.572.7
Auto20.9
Teleop49.0
End8.8
red by 38.1
1119
#18
40.51.1
23.024.1
Auto6.9
Teleop29.0
End4.6
Second
1735
#17
36.90.2
22.322.5
Auto2.7
Teleop28.4
End5.7
red by 13.9
8544
#35
23.01.8
23.925.7
Auto4.0
Teleop17.4
End1.6
Third
3182
#33
32.60.2
27.928.1
Auto4.6
Teleop20.8
End7.2
red by 12.1
2262
#28
20.51.1
19.720.8
Auto5.4
Teleop12.8
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
87%Auto oddsMissed35%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
29%Coral oddsEarned5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
84%Barge oddsEarned17%Barge oddsEarned