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Red209
19078.7
318232.6
176869.3
Blue150
964448.7
715340.7
542244.9
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions185128100150200250209150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+55Teleop
+59Endgame
+59Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
3Leave0
10Coral scored#7
48Coral points33
51Total auto33
TeleoperatedRed +37
22Coral scored#19
78Coral points69
4Processor algae#2
10Net algae#6
24Processor points12
40Net points24
64Algae points36
142Total teleop105
Reef
11L4#10
11L3#7
5L2#6
5L1 · trough#3
46Game pieces#34
BargeRed +4
16Cage & park12
16Total endgame12
Penalties & totalRed +59
0Foul points0
209Total score150

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
190
#1
78.70.9
75.176.0
Auto20.9
Teleop49.0
End8.8
red by 29.9
9644
#16
48.70.4
47.547.9
Auto9.5
Teleop36.6
End2.6
Second
69.30.9
65.766.6
Auto14.3
Teleop47.1
End7.9
red by 24.3
5422
#14
44.90.4
43.744.1
Auto9.3
Teleop31.5
End4.1
Third
3182
#33
32.60.9
29.129.9
Auto4.6
Teleop20.8
End7.2
blue by 8.1
7153
#13
40.70.4
40.140.5
Auto8.3
Teleop27.8
End4.6