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Red52
621313.0
138927.3
524315.1
Blue49
686319.0
859033.9
144613.9
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5067204060801001205249

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+9
+3Endgame
+3Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave0
3Coral scored#2
16Coral points12
19Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +16
4Coral scored#6
15Coral points21
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
0Processor points6
4Net points8
4Algae points14
19Total teleop35
Reef
3L4#2
1L3#3
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
8Game pieces#11
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +3
0Foul points0
52Total score49

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1389
#19
27.31.0
22.423.4
Auto5.8
Teleop15.3
End6.2
blue by 6.6
33.90.4
29.328.9
Auto4.8
Teleop27.3
End1.7
Second
5243
#24
15.10.6
9.39.9
Auto3.9
Teleop9.0
End2.1
blue by 3.9
6863
#18
19.00.4
14.914.5
Auto4.6
Teleop12.7
End1.7
Third
13.00.6
11.612.2
Auto2.9
Teleop7.5
End2.7
blue by 0.9
1446
#25
13.90.7
11.110.4
Auto2.6
Teleop9.6
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
23%Auto oddsEarned61%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
20%Barge oddsEarned15%Barge oddsMissed