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Red52
284911.6
189532.7
1049912.2
Blue67
511519.9
463827.4
686319.0
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions545702040801005267

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+8
Teleop+11
Endgame+11
Fouls+15
AutonomousBlue +8
6Leave9
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points11
12Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +3
7Coral scored#8
24Coral points29
0Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
0Processor points6
12Net points4
12Algae points10
36Total teleop39
Reef
3L4#4
2L3#3
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
11Game pieces#12
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +15
0Foul points4
52Total score67

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1895
#12
32.70.3
27.127.4
Auto4.2
Teleop24.5
End4.0
red by 5.3
4638
#13
27.40.9
15.616.4
Auto10.1
Teleop15.8
End1.5
Second
12.20.3
8.58.8
Auto4.5
Teleop7.2
End0.6
blue by 7.7
19.90.9
16.817.7
Auto5.5
Teleop10.3
End4.1
Third
2849
#20
11.60.3
9.19.4
Auto3.1
Teleop6.3
End2.2
blue by 7.4
6863
#18
19.00.9
14.515.4
Auto4.6
Teleop12.7
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
26%Auto oddsMissed71%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
33%Barge oddsMissed14%Barge oddsMissed