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Red45
337324.3
823012.8
686319.0
Blue82
11617.7
173149.5
61423.3
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions711180501001504582

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+17
Endgame+37
Fouls+37
AutonomousBlue +14
3Leave0
1Coral scored#5
6Coral points23
9Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +3
7Coral scored#7
24Coral points25
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
0Processor points6
8Net points4
8Algae points10
32Total teleop35
Reef
3L4#4
3L3#3
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
10Game pieces#14
BargeBlue +20
4Cage & park24
4Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +37
0Foul points0
45Total score82

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.31.0
22.121.2
Auto3.6
Teleop13.0
End7.7
blue by 25.3
49.50.6
53.853.1
Auto12.9
Teleop28.3
End8.4
Second
6863
#18
19.01.0
16.515.5
Auto4.6
Teleop12.7
End1.7
blue by 4.3
614
#14
23.30.6
23.723.1
Auto5.1
Teleop16.7
End1.6
Third
8230
#28
12.81.6
20.919.3
Auto3.7
Teleop7.7
End1.4
blue by 4.9
116
#4
17.70.6
12.912.3
Auto4.8
Teleop7.1
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
43%Auto oddsMissed83%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
47%Barge oddsMissed77%Barge oddsEarned