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Red112
173149.5
463827.4
832611.5
Blue75
11617.7
179312.4
686319.0
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9541020608012014016011275

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+35Teleop
+35Endgame
+37Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
9Leave9
4Coral scored#1
21Coral points3
30Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +17
11Coral scored#9
40Coral points33
3Processor algae#2
2Net algae#1
18Processor points12
8Net points4
26Algae points16
66Total teleop49
Reef
6L4#5
4L3#2
4L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
20Game pieces#13
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +37
2Foul points0
112Total score75

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.51.5
47.949.4
Auto12.9
Teleop28.3
End8.4
red by 30.5
6863
#18
19.01.5
16.217.7
Auto4.6
Teleop12.7
End1.7
Second
4638
#13
27.41.5
19.721.2
Auto10.1
Teleop15.8
End1.5
red by 9.7
116
#4
17.71.5
14.115.6
Auto4.8
Teleop7.1
End5.8
Third
8326
#26
11.51.5
8.710.2
Auto4.1
Teleop3.4
End4.0
blue by 0.9
1793
#21
12.41.5
11.212.7
Auto1.9
Teleop8.9
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
87%Auto oddsEarned29%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
50%Barge oddsEarned19%Barge oddsEarned