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Red43
450522.2
832611.5
524315.1
Blue46
179312.4
511519.9
686319.0
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3855020801001204346

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
+5Teleop
+3Endgame
Fouls+3
AutonomousBlue +4
9Leave6
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points7
9Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +9
6Coral scored#4
20Coral points13
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#2
6Processor points0
4Net points8
10Algae points8
30Total teleop21
Reef
3L4#2
1L3#1
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
8Game pieces#7
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +3
0Foul points6
43Total score46

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4505
#11
22.20.5
12.513.1
Auto4.5
Teleop16.4
End1.3
red by 2.3
19.90.6
18.217.6
Auto5.5
Teleop10.3
End4.1
Second
5243
#24
15.10.5
9.29.7
Auto3.9
Teleop9.0
End2.1
blue by 3.9
6863
#18
19.00.6
15.514.9
Auto4.6
Teleop12.7
End1.7
Third
8326
#26
11.50.5
11.011.5
Auto4.1
Teleop3.4
End4.0
blue by 0.9
1793
#21
12.40.6
11.811.2
Auto1.9
Teleop8.9
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
27%Auto oddsMissed22%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
9%Barge oddsMissed25%Barge oddsMissed