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Red77
445621.6
686319.0
29122.9
Blue64
623919.5
144613.9
463827.4
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions397002060801001201401607764

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+5
Endgame+5
+13Fouls
AutonomousBlue +17
9Leave3
0Coral scored#5
0Coral points23
9Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +12
11Coral scored#7
40Coral points26
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
0Processor points6
8Net points4
8Algae points10
48Total teleop36
Reef
4L4#6
3L3#2
3L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
13Game pieces#14
Bargelevel
2Cage & park2
2Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +13
18Foul points0
77Total score64

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.61.4
20.622.0
Auto3.8
Teleop15.0
End2.8
blue by 5.8
4638
#13
27.40.4
25.525.9
Auto10.1
Teleop15.8
End1.5
Second
6863
#18
19.01.4
16.117.5
Auto4.6
Teleop12.7
End1.7
blue by 0.5
19.50.4
19.519.9
Auto5.5
Teleop11.3
End2.7
Third
2912
#29
2.91.4
1.52.9
Auto1.4
Teleop-0.5
End2.0
blue by 11.0
1446
#25
13.90.4
13.513.9
Auto2.6
Teleop9.6
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
41%Auto oddsEarned68%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
26%Barge oddsEarned26%Barge oddsMissed