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Red75
511529.0
409917.2
162952.4
Blue139
83665.7
533849.6
253714.9
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10614605020025075139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+8Auto
Teleop+60
Endgame+62
Fouls+64
AutonomousRed +8
0Leave0
8Coral scored#6
38Coral points30
38Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +68
8Coral scored#22
29Coral points79
1Processor algae#2
0Net algae#3
6Processor points12
0Net points12
6Algae points24
35Total teleop103
Reef
4L4#10
5L3#6
4L2#7
3L1 · trough#5
17Game pieces#33
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Penalties & totalBlue +64
0Foul points2
75Total score139

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.40.6
53.653.0
Auto16.5
Teleop33.2
End2.6
blue by 13.4
836
#3
65.70.2
65.765.8
Auto14.6
Teleop41.6
End9.4
Second
5115
#11
29.00.6
30.329.7
Auto7.3
Teleop15.3
End6.5
blue by 20.5
49.60.2
49.549.7
Auto11.0
Teleop39.1
End-0.5
Third
4099
#22
17.20.6
18.517.9
Auto4.9
Teleop12.0
End0.4
red by 2.3
2537
#20
14.90.2
14.915.1
Auto2.1
Teleop10.9
End1.9