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Red100
524317.6
450517.6
172753.8
Blue182
83665.7
511529.0
533849.6
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions93155050200250100182

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+29
Teleop+78
Endgame+76
Fouls+82
AutonomousBlue +29
9Leave6
1Coral scored#8
7Coral points39
16Total auto45
TeleoperatedBlue +49
14Coral scored#23
52Coral points81
0Processor algae#4
4Net algae#3
0Processor points24
16Net points12
16Algae points36
68Total teleop117
Reef
5L4#10
6L3#9
2L2#8
2L1 · trough#4
19Game pieces#38
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +82
0Foul points6
100Total score182

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.80.6
56.056.6
Auto6.1
Teleop35.6
End12.1
blue by 11.9
836
#3
65.72.7
62.965.6
Auto14.6
Teleop41.6
End9.4
Second
4505
#26
17.60.6
19.720.3
Auto5.8
Teleop10.3
End1.4
blue by 32.0
49.62.7
43.045.7
Auto11.0
Teleop39.1
End-0.5
Third
5243
#10
17.60.6
15.215.8
Auto4.5
Teleop12.2
End0.8
blue by 11.5
5115
#11
29.02.7
29.932.6
Auto7.3
Teleop15.3
End6.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
54%Auto oddsMissed98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed25%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
69%Barge oddsEarned78%Barge oddsEarned