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Red145
44959.0
379320.0
210651.2
Blue128
172743.8
62322.0
88846.0
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14212280100160180200145128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+17Teleop
+17Endgame
+17Fouls
Autonomouslevel
0Leave6
6Coral scored#5
30Coral points24
30Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +17
22Coral scored#16
79Coral points56
2Processor algae#1
5Net algae#8
12Processor points6
20Net points32
32Algae points38
111Total teleop94
Reef
10L4#9
9L3#4
5L2#4
4L1 · trough#4
35Game pieces#30
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +17
0Foul points0
145Total score128

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
449
#1
59.00.2
58.759.0
Auto13.4
Teleop44.4
End1.2
red by 13.0
888
#4
46.00.3
45.746.0
Auto11.2
Teleop31.8
End3.0
Second
51.20.2
51.051.2
Auto12.5
Teleop31.9
End6.8
red by 7.4
43.80.3
43.543.8
Auto6.7
Teleop29.0
End8.1
Third
3793
#12
20.00.2
19.720.0
Auto4.5
Teleop14.5
End1.0
blue by 2.1
623
#28
22.00.3
21.822.0
Auto5.2
Teleop15.5
End1.3