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Red37
44649.6
62322.0
33919.6
Blue57
862216.3
788616.5
777021.2
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5641020801001201403757

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+18
Endgame+20
Fouls+20
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave0
1Coral scored#2
4Coral points10
13Total auto10
TeleoperatedBlue +21
3Coral scored#8
10Coral points27
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
6Processor points6
4Net points8
10Algae points14
20Total teleop41
Reef
1L4#3
1L3#3
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
6Game pieces#13
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +20
0Foul points0
37Total score57

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
623
#28
22.01.4
17.816.4
Auto5.2
Teleop15.5
End1.3
red by 0.8
7770
#17
21.21.0
13.114.1
Auto4.6
Teleop15.4
End1.1
Second
339
#18
19.60.9
18.817.9
Auto6.4
Teleop12.8
End0.4
red by 3.1
16.51.0
12.813.8
Auto3.7
Teleop11.1
End1.7
Third
4464
#26
9.61.4
10.79.2
Auto2.7
Teleop4.0
End2.9
blue by 6.7
8622
#16
16.31.0
13.114.1
Auto2.9
Teleop11.6
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
35%Auto oddsEarned44%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
25%Barge oddsMissed8%Barge oddsMissed