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Red39
181121.7
940321.7
Blue63
188526.0
1067922.2
374836.3
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions518002040601001203963

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
Teleop+18
Endgame+30
Fouls+24
AutonomousRed +1
0Leave3
3Coral scored#2
13Coral points9
13Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +19
4Coral scored#8
14Coral points27
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
0Processor points6
4Net points4
4Algae points10
18Total teleop37
Reef
3L4#4
2L3#3
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#2
8Game pieces#12
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +24
6Foul points0
39Total score63

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9403
#21
21.71.6
16.314.8
Auto4.8
Teleop14.8
End2.2
blue by 14.6
36.30.4
26.626.2
Auto5.3
Teleop23.2
End7.8
Second
1811
#11
21.70.9
15.214.2
Auto4.7
Teleop16.3
End0.6
blue by 4.4
26.00.4
24.123.8
Auto5.5
Teleop19.0
End1.5
Third
8.31.6
15.714.1
Auto3.7
Teleop4.2
End0.4
blue by 13.9
22.20.4
15.615.2
Auto4.4
Teleop15.5
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
35%Auto oddsEarned29%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
30%Barge oddsMissed42%Barge oddsEarned