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Red106
33919.6
1067922.2
1022427.1
Blue86
970913.4
40424.7
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8062204010012010686

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+18Teleop
+20Endgame
+20Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
9Leave3
1Coral scored#2
7Coral points9
16Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +14
18Coral scored#12
64Coral points44
1Processor algae#2
4Net algae#4
6Processor points12
16Net points16
22Algae points28
86Total teleop72
Reef
9L4#5
4L3#4
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
24Game pieces#20
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +20
0Foul points0
106Total score86

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.11.6
24.926.5
Auto4.9
Teleop21.3
End0.9
red by 2.4
404
#14
24.70.1
20.520.6
Auto4.4
Teleop19.6
End0.7
Second
22.22.7
15.217.9
Auto4.4
Teleop15.5
End2.4
red by 8.8
9709
#27
13.40.1
14.014.2
Auto2.4
Teleop9.4
End1.7
Third
339
#18
19.61.6
17.919.5
Auto6.4
Teleop12.8
End0.4
red by 11.3
8.30.2
14.114.4
Auto3.7
Teleop4.2
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
64%Auto oddsEarned20%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
12%Barge oddsMissed8%Barge oddsMissed