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Red36
44649.6
253717.8
788616.5
Blue89
862216.3
181121.7
940321.7
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4459020801001201403689

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+53
Endgame+53
Fouls+53
AutonomousBlue +4
0Leave0
2Coral scored#3
9Coral points13
9Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +49
5Coral scored#14
17Coral points52
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
0Processor points6
4Net points12
4Algae points18
21Total teleop70
Reef
3L4#9
2L3#4
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
8Game pieces#21
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +53
0Foul points0
36Total score89

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2537
#23
17.80.8
16.916.2
Auto3.0
Teleop12.4
End2.4
blue by 3.9
9403
#21
21.73.0
20.923.9
Auto4.8
Teleop14.8
End2.2
Second
16.50.8
16.916.1
Auto3.7
Teleop11.1
End1.7
blue by 5.2
1811
#11
21.72.1
17.219.3
Auto4.7
Teleop16.3
End0.6
Third
4464
#26
9.61.1
7.96.8
Auto2.7
Teleop4.0
End2.9
blue by 6.7
8622
#16
16.32.1
14.216.3
Auto2.9
Teleop11.6
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
9%Auto oddsMissed41%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
13%Barge oddsMissed24%Barge oddsMissed